Volkswagen Golf GTI
LatentRank #49Mk1 · 1976–1983 · 110bhp · FWD · NA · Manual
The car that invented the segment. Enormous cultural weight, but also enormous production numbers.
- Est. value now
- $32,000
- CAGR 2015–2025
- +7.9%
- Recent CAGR
- +1.2%
- Units built
- 460,000
Estimated value trajectory
+$17,000 since 2015Illustrative estimates for a condition-2 example, not sale records. Confidence in this trajectory: high.
How the score is built
Motorsport history, cultural weight, end-of-era status, analogue purity
Production run and, where known, surviving population — log scale, weighted to survivors
Annualised growth over recent years — what it is doing now
Growth already achieved — weighted lowest, since it is priced in
Stage: Latent
Never had a run, and is not moving much now. The market has yet to re-rate it.
Long-run growth +7.9% per year against +1.2% recently — decelerating by 6.7pp. Running-cost risk is rated 5/10, deducting 4 points from the score.