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Toyota GT86

LatentRank #51

ZN6 · 2012–2020 · 197bhp · RWD · NA · Manual

A cheap, light, naturally aspirated rear-driver — the right ingredients, but built in numbers that cap any scarcity story.

Est. value now
$21,000
CAGR 2015–2025
+0.2%
Recent CAGR
+1.9%
Units built
200,000

Estimated value trajectory

+$500 since 2015
$21k$20k$19k201520172019202120232025

Illustrative estimates for a condition-2 example, not sale records. Confidence in this trajectory: high.

How the score is built

Desirability70 × 0.30 = 21.0

Motorsport history, cultural weight, end-of-era status, analogue purity

Scarcity13 × 0.25 = 3.3

Production run and, where known, surviving population — log scale, weighted to survivors

Momentum36 × 0.25 = 9.0

Annualised growth over recent years — what it is doing now

Trajectory31 × 0.20 = 6.2

Growth already achieved — weighted lowest, since it is priced in

Running-cost drag-2
Appreciation score37

Stage: Latent

Never had a run, and is not moving much now. The market has yet to re-rate it.

Long-run growth +0.2% per year against +1.9% recently — accelerating by 1.6pp. Running-cost risk is rated 3/10, deducting 2 points from the score.