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Ferrari F430

ClimbingRank #32

F430 · 2004–2009 · 483bhp · RWD · NA · Manual

Gated-manual cars are a tiny fraction of production and command a huge premium over the paddle-shift F1 version.

Est. value now
$195,000
CAGR 2015–2025
+6.1%
Recent CAGR
+5.1%
Units built
Unknown

Estimated value trajectory

+$87,000 since 2015
$195k$152k$108k201520172019202120232025

Illustrative estimates for a condition-2 example, not sale records. Confidence in this trajectory: medium.

How the score is built

Desirability87 × 0.30 = 26.1

Motorsport history, cultural weight, end-of-era status, analogue purity

Scarcity40 × 0.25 = 10.0

Production run and, where known, surviving population — log scale, weighted to survivors

Momentum55 × 0.25 = 13.8

Annualised growth over recent years — what it is doing now

Trajectory58 × 0.20 = 11.6

Growth already achieved — weighted lowest, since it is priced in

Running-cost drag-6
Appreciation score55

Stage: Climbing

Still gaining meaningfully — 5%/yr or better over recent years.

Long-run growth +6.1% per year against +5.1% recently — decelerating by 1.0pp. Running-cost risk is rated 8/10, deducting 6 points from the score.