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Ferrari 458 Speciale

LatentRank #24

458 · 2013–2015 · 597bhp · RWD · NA · Automatic

The last naturally aspirated mid-engined V8 Ferrari. Everything after it is turbocharged, and the market knows it.

Est. value now
$385,000
CAGR 2015–2025
+3.2%
Recent CAGR
+3.5%
Units built
3,000

Estimated value trajectory

+$105,000 since 2015
$385k$333k$280k201520172019202120232025

Illustrative estimates for a condition-2 example, not sale records. Confidence in this trajectory: medium.

How the score is built

Desirability84 × 0.30 = 25.2

Motorsport history, cultural weight, end-of-era status, analogue purity

Scarcity74 × 0.25 = 18.5

Production run and, where known, surviving population — log scale, weighted to survivors

Momentum46 × 0.25 = 11.5

Annualised growth over recent years — what it is doing now

Trajectory45 × 0.20 = 9.0

Growth already achieved — weighted lowest, since it is priced in

Running-cost drag-6
Appreciation score58

Stage: Latent

Never had a run, and is not moving much now. The market has yet to re-rate it.

Long-run growth +3.2% per year against +3.5% recently — accelerating by 0.3pp. Running-cost risk is rated 8/10, deducting 6 points from the score.