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BMW M5

ClimbingRank #23

E39 · 1998–2003 · 394bhp · RWD · NA · Manual

A naturally aspirated V8 super-saloon with a manual gearbox. Cheap examples are financial traps; good ones keep climbing.

Est. value now
$40,500
CAGR 2015–2025
+10.4%
Recent CAGR
+5.3%
Units built
20,482

Estimated value trajectory

+$25,500 since 2015
$41k$28k$15k201520172019202120232025

Illustrative estimates for a condition-2 example, not sale records. Confidence in this trajectory: high.

How the score is built

Desirability75 × 0.30 = 22.5

Motorsport history, cultural weight, end-of-era status, analogue purity

Scarcity46 × 0.25 = 11.5

Production run and, where known, surviving population — log scale, weighted to survivors

Momentum57 × 0.25 = 14.3

Annualised growth over recent years — what it is doing now

Trajectory78 × 0.20 = 15.6

Growth already achieved — weighted lowest, since it is priced in

Running-cost drag-6
Appreciation score58

Stage: Climbing

Still gaining meaningfully — 5%/yr or better over recent years.

Long-run growth +10.4% per year against +5.3% recently — decelerating by 5.2pp. Running-cost risk is rated 7/10, deducting 6 points from the score.